Tuesday, May 13

:: The Lady is a Fighter

Is it my imagination, or did Hillary just flip the bird to the media?
The lady kicked some ass in West Virginia today. Right now CNN has the results at 65 to 28%, with 61% reporting. That's... wait a sec.... counting.... a 37 point margin, right? If she breaks 70% it'll be a record. I don't know how far that goes to canceling out her NC loss and putting us right back where we were before the latest round of media bullying, but it speaks to the wisdom of staying in this race to the finish.

Women were only 53% of the electorate - on the low side. Shockingly, a major cable news station mentioned gender tonight, at least on their website. Here's Bill Schneider (the Andy Rooney of pundits)...

"The gender gap, a factor earlier on in the Democratic presidential race, seemed to disappear over the last few weeks. But the gap is certainly back in West Virginia.

In early exit polls, 55 percent of Hillary Clinton's supporters are women, and 45 percent are men.

How about Barack Obama's voters?

Just about the reverse: 57 percent of Obama supporters were men, and 43 percent were women.

So it looks like the gender gap, long a feature of politics between Democrats and Republicans, has established itself in the Democratic primaries."

Isn't that nice, Bill. But from my own sad little spreadsheet of exit poll results, women have voter from men by a margin of 8 points in more than half the primaries so far. Here's the top 14....

State / C women / C men / gap

UT / 48 / 28 / 20
NH / 46 / 29 / 17
CT / 53 / 38 / 15
RI / 66 / 51 / 15
MA / 62 / 48 / 14
CA / 59 / 45 / 14
FL / 54 / 42 / 12
NY / 62 / 50 / 12
TN / 58 / 47 / 11
AZ / 53 / 43 / 10
NJ / 58 / 48 / 10
PA / 59 / 49 / 10
VA / 39 / 30 / 9
NM / 52 / 43 / 9

Oops. Forgot to add IN and NC to my little grid. So maybe they belong on this list too.

In short, men have had a problem voting for Hillary from the get-go. So what is Bill on about? Did something different actually happen, or is he just resorting to the "b-list" material since there isn't much data by race to talk about?

Sorry about the sarcasm. Being invisible makes me cranky.

1 comment:

RS said...

So it looks like Senator Clinton got +12 delegates out of WVa today. Does that put us back to a pre-NC/IN state?
No - in the past week, Senator Obama has gained over 20 superdelegates, including 3-4 today.
So he still leads by 166 delegates (pledged+supers), even after WVa.

I wrote a post in response to your question on the gender gap on my blog:
http://randomsubu.blogspot.com/2008/05
/return-of-gender-gap.html